What does the Ukraine war mean for UK households? How Russia's invasion affects prices, from meat to iPhones

· 6 min read
What does the Ukraine war mean for UK households? How Russia's invasion affects prices, from meat to iPhones

"What the conflict has done for Ukraine's international reputation is absolutely remarkable." Its forces are running dangerously low on the vital western-supplied anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles needed to fend off the advancing Russians. “Millions of companies across Britain” were warned “to prepare for a Russian cyber attack” after the government slapped sanctions on Moscow, the Daily Mail reported. Ukraine is known as the “breadbasket of Europe” and along with Russia makes up 29% of global wheat exports, 19% of corn and 80% of sunflower oil. That means “the price of items such as bread, baked goods and beer could rise”, The Times warned. The success of anti-tank systems the UK and the West has given Ukraine shows that planners' decisions to commission some weapons to counter a Soviet invasion of Europe was right.

A new £2.5bn military aid package from the UK has been welcomed here, with £200m of that earmarked specifically for drones. But President Volodymyr Zelensky has also pledged to make a million of them within the borders of Ukraine. With major military packages trapped under political disagreements in the US and European Union, Ukraine is having to adapt, and look inwards.

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Recruitment remained a challenge, he said, although applications to join were “the highest in six years”. Sanders has previously complained publicly and privately about defence cuts. A year ago, in an attempt to ensure politicians plugged the gap with future spending, he warned that gifts of weapons to Ukraine would “leave us temporarily weaker”. During the speech in London, the army chief said the UK needed to broadly follow Stockholm’s example and take “preparatory steps to enable placing our societies on a war footing”.

what does ukraine war mean for uk

UK officials said they are “braced for significant petrol price rises at the pump”. Russia has seen more success in eastern Ukraine, by pounding their opposing forces and holding them back with an onslaught. Air Vice Marshal Bell says the other reason the attack on the Moskva was successful was because it had been manoeuvring in a way that left it vulnerable to attack.

UK government's humanitarian response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: facts and figures

This was in return for Ukraine giving up its massive arsenal of nuclear weapons, a legacy of its membership of the Soviet Union. In 1994, the UK - along with the US - signed a memorandum at an international conference in Budapest promising "to respect the independence and sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine". They also promised to provide assistance to Ukraine if it "should become a victim of an act of aggression". "Now we are starting the future war of drones, which maybe in two decades will turn the tide of any war." Ukraine's commander-in-chief Gen Valerii Zaluzhnyy told the Economist magazine in November that Russia and Ukraine had "reached the level of technology that puts us into a stalemate". Under constant drone surveillance and enemy bombardment, life has gradually drained from Kherson's streets.

If the West became involved in a war with Russia, it is likely to be protracted, meaning supplies would have to be maintained for potentially months or even years. Prof Clarke says the 4,000 NLAW anti-tank weapons provided to Ukraine by the UK are a good example of what can happen. Earlier this month, its civil defence minister told a defence conference "there could be a war in Sweden". Talk of wider war in Europe and the potential need for mass mobilisation or a "citizen army" may sound alarming.

Military kit also needs boots on the ground to operate it – hence Sir Patrick’s call for a “Citizen Army” to boost the regular Armed Forces. Whether people would be flocking into recruitment offices is open to question. According to a 2022 YouGov poll, only one in five Britons would volunteer for service in the event of an invasion. Since the beginning of the Ukrainian revolution and Pro-Russian unrest in Ukraine, the United Kingdom has actively supported Ukraine and publicly condemned Russian actions. The UK supports Ukraine in becoming a member of the EU and NATO.[11][12] In this context London has implemented a series of sanctions and restrictive measures both in unilateral and multilateral formats.

  • Russia earned around $54.2 billion last year from its global natural gas exports so it would be a big step to turn off the tap to Europe.
  • Here’s how the war will affect the UK, from potential military action to sanctions and gas prices.
  • Considering they have been accused of using nuclear and chemical agents in the UK, it might have been assumed the Russians wouldn't follow international rules on the battlefield, but the Ukraine conflict appears to have confirmed it.
  • Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is having a ripple effect across global economies and commodity markets, with the price of everything from bread and meat to iPhones and smartwatches poised to rise.
  • Moscow’s ambassador to London previously warned that the UK would be hit with “immediate retaliation” if it tried to sanction Russia.

British nationals should leave Ukraine immediately if they judge it is safe to do so. The FCDO advises against travel to Russia, and British nationals should consider leaving if their presence is not essential. Russia has already put all ships on “stop” in the Azov Sea, where most grain is shipped from, a grain industry source told Sky News. Of course, for all the lessons that planners can learn from Ukraine, they will only be valuable if Russia continues to act in a similar way, should it ever become embroiled in a  conflict with the West.

Retired members of essential professions – doctors, nurses, morticians, police – would be urged back into service. As in Ukraine, office techies could be in demand to operate drones on the front lines and to fend off cyberattacks. Ukrainian banks and government websites were hit with a spate of cyber attacks last week prior to the deployment of Russian troops to Luhansk and Donetsk. Ukraine’s minister of digital transformation said the attacks have continued since the full invasion.  Before the war, it was expected that one of the first lines of attack from Russia in any conflict would be a major cyber assault, both on Russia's opposing combatant, and potentially on its allies.

The western bank of the Dnipro river in the city of Kherson is one of them. As Gen Sir Patrick Sanders stated several times in his speech on Wednesday, "Ukraine really matters". Russia's ambitions, he said, were not just about seizing territory but "about defeating our system and way of life politically, psychologically and symbolically". Earlier this month The Telegraph revealed that the Navy has so few sailors it will have to decommission two warships to staff its new class of frigates. Last week Capita, the outsourcing specialist in charge of the Army’s recruitment, said soldiers who have visible tattoos, hay fever or a record of asthma should be allowed to join to solve the crisis. The number of regular troops in the Army stands at 75,983, although defence sources insisted applications for the Army were at the highest they had been in six years.

It's promising to deploy British forces to eastern European members of the Nato military alliance if Russian troops cross Ukraine's borders. In a snow-covered park in Kherson, we meet a mobile air-defence team under an archway.  https://euronewstop.co.uk/how-many-troops-does-ukraine-have.html  means Finland can muster one of Europe's largest armies. The size of its active armed forces is only 19,000 personnel, but it can call on another 238,000 reserves.

  • The UK aspires to spend 2.5 per cent of GDP on defence, and Mr Shapps has said he would like to increase this to 3 per cent, though he failed to set a date last week for the target.
  • Higher oil prices feed into the fuel component of CPI prices directly, while the household utility component is adjusted for expected changes in wholesale gas and electricity prices every six months via the Ofgem price gap.
  • Recruitment remained a challenge, he said, although applications to join were “the highest in six years”.
  • As a result of the conflict, oil prices have surged past $100 (£75) a barrel to hit their highest level for more than seven years, which will impact already-rising petrol prices in the UK.

But the head of the British Army Gen Sir Patrick Sanders is not alone in issuing a national call to prepare for a major conflict on European soil. On Tuesday, the chief of Norway’s armed forces said the country must increase defence spending in the face of a potential war with Russia within three years, following its neighbour Sweden in urging citizens to brace for conflict. A large diversion of citizens to military duty would leave gaps in the workforce to be filled, be it guarding food warehouses or building trenches and bomb shelters.

It is now a professional force of around 73,000, compared to around 100,000 in 2010. “The British military has a proud tradition of being a voluntary force and there is absolutely no suggestion of a return to conscription,” the MoD said, adding that £50bn was being invested in the military during the current year. “We have become so comfortable here in Britain that it’s hard to imagine young people fighting, and when I went to Afghanistan a decade ago, I didn’t think the youngsters of would be up to much,” he said.