Will Russia attack the UK? What Putin has said and why there are fears that he will expand the Ukraine war

· 6 min read
Will Russia attack the UK? What Putin has said and why there are fears that he will expand the Ukraine war

The war that erupted in eastern Ukraine in 2014 has already left 14,000 dead and an estimated 1.4 million displaced. It is called self-determination, and perhaps the most important aspect of this principle is that borders cannot be changed by invading armies. Russian forces targeted parts of the Kharkiv oblast throughout yesterday and this morning, injuring several and damaging buildings, said Oleg Synegubov, head of the Kharkiv regional state administration.

  • Mr Zelensky said Russia had positioned almost 200,000 troops and thousands of combat vehicles on Ukraine's borders ahead of Thursday's invasion.
  • Madame Chair, as we approach the third year since Russia’s full-scale invasion, the UK’s support will not falter.
  • Cuts have already seen the size of the British Army fall from more than 100,000 in 2010 to around 73,000 now.
  • Prof Chalmers said he did not think the UK would send over large equipment as Russia's superior force would destroy it quickly and Ukrainian forces would need training on how to use and maintain it.

On Monday, he fired a shot across the bows, telling an event in London that Britain would “stand up to bullies”, no matter how far away the conflict. An incursion by Russia into Ukraine would violate the “most basic freedoms and sovereignty”, the defence secretary has said following a visit to Scandinavia. Republicans in Washington have been holding up new funds for Kyiv over demands for border control, leading to concerns over the reliability of American support. In 1968 the Government developed an operation, codenamed Python, to disperse the key figures in groups to different parts of the country, including on yachts at sea. He said these would more likely be smaller nuclear weapons known as tactical nuclear weapons, used within Ukraine. These are different from strategic nuclear weapons, like the ones used by the US in Japan during the Second World War, but would still represent a significant escalation.

Explosions heard across the country

Indeed, for all the foreboding about societal collapse, facing a common threat could give Britain a new-found sense of unity – something many Ukrainians speak of. Just as there was the “Clap for Carers” during the pandemic, similar rituals might take place for those serving at the front. And for every shirker or draft-dodger, others might take pride in national duty, be it manning a machine gun post or cleaning the streets. “We have become so comfortable here in Britain that it’s hard to imagine young people fighting, and when I went to Afghanistan a decade ago, I didn’t think the youngsters of would be up to much,” he said.

what happens if russia invades ukraine uk

The fear is that if Russia is allowed to invade Ukraine unresisted, that might act as a signal to other leaders that the days of Western powers intervening in other conflicts are over.  https://euronewstop.co.uk/who-is-allies-with-ukraine.html  might stay in neighbouring Poland and eastern European countries, but some might head further west and eventually end up in the UK. But both of these demands would break key Nato principles, namely that the alliance should be open to any European country that wants to join and that all Nato members should be sovereign nations.

Watch: Diplomats recall moment war broke out at peace council

While he said such an attack  is unlikely now, "our experts expect a period of five to eight years in which this could be possible". He highlighted numerous threats, but there is one common thread amid all these warnings - Russia. Following a meeting between US President Joe Biden and Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Monday, Mr Biden said the Nord Stream 2 Russia-to-Germany gas pipeline would be blocked if Russia further invades Ukraine. Russia denies it plans to invade, but has more than 100,000 troops on Ukraine’s border. But the official noted there had been a combination of sharp bellicose rhetoric from Moscow, accusations of being provoked by Ukraine and Nato, a lack of transparency, and a worrying track record, including the annexation of Crimea in 2014.

While Covid was a useful exercise in Armageddon planning, 21st-century Britain is arguably less ready for actual warfare than it was even 30 years ago. At the end of the Cold War, most of the 100-strong network of nuclear bunkers were closed, along with around 1,500 underground posts for the Royal Observer Corps, a 10,000-strong volunteer force. Right now, such scenarios tend to exercise only the minds of Ministry of Defence war-gamers and military thriller writers. But far-fetched as they might sound, General Sir Patrick Sanders, the head of Britain’s army, believes it is time we dwelt on them more. Nato uses a system of collective security, whereby its independent member states agree to mutual defence in response to an attack by any external party.

Exploiting its overwhelming superiority in land, sea and air forces, Russia is expected to attack simultaneously on several fronts, from the north-east, the Donbas and Crimea. Ground troops in Belarus, backed by airstrikes, would spearhead a lightning drive south to seize the capital, Kyiv. About 10 civilians are believed to have been killed, including six in an air strike in Brovary near the capital Kyiv. A man was also killed in shelling outside the major eastern city of Kharkiv. Earlier this month, its civil defence minister  told a defence conference "there could be a war in Sweden".

What we might want to worry about more is the impact on energy prices. Your parents are likely to pay even more for gas and electricity because of this crisis. Labour's Keir Starmer and many Conservative backbenchers have called for further military options to be explored. So far the UK government has sent troops (now withdrawn) to train the Ukrainian army, and supplied them with defensive weapons. The defence expert, who held meetings in Moscow with Russian officials last week, said one of the extra options the UK could provide are intelligence surveillance reports.

  • He said there will likely be an initial phase where Russian and Ukrainian troops are fighting on the ground in Donbas and potentially around Kyiv but Russia will take control of the air very quickly.
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  • A number of European countries also rehearse for civil emergencies - with exercises that involve ordinary citizens as well as the military.
  • Filip Pronin, governor of Poltava region, wrote on Telegram that the attack struck an industrial site in the city of Kremenchuk, sparking a fire.
  • This would put the "largest and most combat-effective friendly military on the European continent" at the forefront of NATO's defence, according to the thinktank.

They also promised to provide assistance to Ukraine if it "should become a victim of an act of aggression". But his remark lives on as a challenge to all policymakers thinking about whether to engage diplomatically - and even militarily - in a potential conflict between two foreign countries. Yet the only threat to any civilian in Ukraine continues to come from Russia.

"These are among the darkest hours of Europe since the Second World War," EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said. Mark, a 27-year-old sales executive, said he was ready to be called up to fight. “Our discussions were clear that a Russian invasion of Ukraine would be a strategic mistake, violating the most basic freedoms and sovereignty. Tensions on the Ukrainian border continue to be fraught, with the US suggesting Moscow is preparing for a “false-flag operation” in order to spark an incursion into neighbouring territory.

Whether people would be flocking into recruitment offices is open to question. According to a 2022 YouGov poll, only one in five Britons would volunteer for service in the event of an invasion. Britain has also allowed ammunition supplies to dwindle to “dangerously low levels,” according to a Parliamentary Defence Committee report. Gen Sir Richard Barrons, the former head of the British Joint Forces Command, told the committee that he doubted there were “sufficient munitions to sustain a high-intensity conflict for more than about a week”. While Russia’s forces are strong they would be dwarfed by Nato’s collective power, making touching a Nato member incredibly risky. Despite this, Russia actually launching an attack on the UK is very unlikely, and would probably require Russia to first invade a Nato nation to even become a possibility.